ʻO ka ʻuala kahi mea kanu nui ma India. I kēia manawa, ʻai ʻia ka hapa nui o ka ʻuala ma ke ʻano he mea hou (68%) a ukali ʻia e ka hana ʻana (7.5%) a me ka hua (8.5%). ʻO ke koena he 16% ʻuala i pau ʻole ma muli o ka nalowale ma hope o ka ʻohi ʻana. Eia nō naʻe, manaʻo ʻia e loli ka hapa o ka ʻuala i hoʻohana ʻia a hoʻopau ʻia ma muli o nā kumu like ʻole ma ke ʻano o ka wā lōʻihi.
Uala Hou
Ua hoʻonui ʻia ka hoʻohana ʻana o ka ʻuala hou (FAOSTAT) mai 1991 a 2010 ma kahi ACGR o 2.34. E piʻi aʻe kēia ʻai i ka wā e hiki mai ana ma ka helu like? ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka ulu ʻana o ka hua cereals, ka hoʻololi nui ʻana i nā kīʻaha meaʻai e hānai a me ka bio-fuel a me ka manaʻo e piʻi kiʻekiʻe i ka hoʻohana ʻana i kēlā me kēia poʻe o nā pulses, aila ʻai, nā huaʻai, nā huaʻai, ka waiū, ke kō a me nā meaʻai ʻole meaʻai i ke aupuni. ʻo ka piʻi mau ʻana o ka heluna kanaka e hoʻokau ʻia i ka ʻāina mahiʻai. No ka mea, ʻo ka ʻāina mahiʻai e manaʻo ʻia e hoʻomau mau ʻia i nā makahiki he 40 e hiki mai ana, ʻo ke kuleana o nā mea kanu e like me ka ʻuala i ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hana ʻana i kēlā me kēia ʻāina a me ka manawa e lilo i mea nui. Ma kēia ʻano, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻuala no ka hāʻawi ʻana i ke koʻikoʻi i ka papahana mālama ʻai ʻāina e hiki mai ana.
ʻO nā loli i ʻike ʻia i ka socio-economics India i ka manawa waena a me ka wā lōʻihi e manaʻo ʻia e hoʻonui i ka ʻai ʻana o ka ʻuala hou. ʻO ka ʻuala kahi mea nui o ka hapa nui o nā meaʻai wikiwiki i hoʻonohonoho ʻia a me ka ʻāpana ʻole. ʻO ka piʻi wikiwiki ʻana o ka heluna kanaka mai 375 a 840 miliona i nā makahiki he 40 e hiki mai ana ma kahi ACGR o 2.04% e manaʻo ʻia e kūʻē i ka ACGR āpau o ka lehulehu ma 0.78%. ʻO ka piʻi wikiwiki ʻana o ka nui o nā ʻohana nuklea, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka loaʻa kālā ma muli o ka ulu wikiwiki ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai e hopena i ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻai ma waho o ka home a me ka piʻi wikiwiki ʻana o ka nui o nā wahine hana ma ka waena a me ka lōʻihi e manaʻo ʻia e mālama i ka ACGR holoʻokoʻa. he 2.265% i ka ʻai ʻana o ka ʻuala hou i kēlā me kēia kanaka. He 48.5 kg ka makemake o ka meaʻai no ka ʻuala hou ma kēia ACGR i ka wā lōʻihi (Papa 1). ʻO ka koi ʻai ʻāina kūpono no ka ʻuala hou he 78.5 miliona t i 2050.
Ka Hana ʻana i nā ʻuala maikaʻi
1 Pūnaewele No kēlā me kēia poʻe a me ka nui o ka ʻai ʻāina no ka ʻuala hou
mau | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 |
No kēlā me kēia kanaka hou (kg) | 19.78 | 23.70 | 29.16 | 37.12 | 48.47 |
Koi aupuni (miliona t) | 23.94 | 30.84 | 40.82 | 55.89 | 78.47 |
Loaʻa ka wikiwiki o ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻoihana mahiʻai i ka wā e hoʻololi ai ka ʻoihana mai ka ulu ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai o India mai $ 1.57 a i waena o 13 a me 34 trillion (ma lalo o nā hiʻohiʻona like ʻole; nā manaʻo NCAP) ʻaʻole hiki ke loaʻa me ka ʻole o ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻoihana mahiai. Eia kekahi, ʻo ka ʻuala ka mea mua i ka wā e noʻonoʻo ai mākou i ka hana ʻana i nā mea kanu. Hōʻike ka ʻike ʻana o ka ʻike i hala a me ke ʻano o ka ʻoihana hoʻoponopono India e piʻi aʻe ka koi no ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i ka ʻuala maikaʻi i nā makahiki he 40 e hiki mai ana i ka wikiwiki loa no ka French fries (11.6% ACGR) a ukali ʻia e nā flakes / pauka (7.6%) a me nā ʻuala (4.5). %). E piʻi aʻe ka koi maoli no ka hana ʻana i ka ʻuala mai 2.8 miliona t i ka makahiki 2010 a i 25 miliona t i ka makahiki 2050 ma kahi ACGR o 5.61% (Papa 2).
2 Pūnaewele Koi waiwai maka o ka ʻoihana ʻuala (miliona t)
Huahana | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 |
ʻĀpana ʻuala | 2.45 | 5.59 | 9.09 | 12.06 | 14.22 |
ʻO ka ʻuala ʻuala/pauka | 0.29 | 0.89 | 1.99 | 3.58 | 5.44 |
Nā hua ʻuala paʻa | 0.06 | 0.30 | 1.03 | 2.64 | 5.40 |
Ka huina | 2.80 | 6.78 | 12.11 | 18.28 | 25.06 |
ʻAʻohe ʻoihana hana ʻuala ma India a paʻakikī kona wā e hiki mai ana ma muli o ka wā pōkole o ka mahi ʻana i ka ʻuala, ʻike ʻole ʻia nā hanana e hiki mai ana i ka ʻoihana starch potato o Kina a me ʻEulopa (nā mea pāʻani nui o ka honua) a me ka hoʻokaʻawale ʻana i nā mea hou aʻe. ʻāina mahiʻai i nā koho palekana meaʻai ma mua o nā huahana ʻoihana. Eia nō naʻe, inā hoʻohana ʻia ka nui o ka uala no ka hana ʻana i ka starch ʻuala a i ʻole nā huahana ʻoihana ʻē aʻe, a laila ʻaʻole i helu ʻia kēia koi a ʻoi aku ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia.
Hōʻike ʻia ka huina like a me kēlā me kēia kapita o nā huahana ʻuala maoli i ka pae o kēia manawa a i ka wā e hiki mai ana ma ka papa 3. ʻO ka nui o ka noi o hana ʻia Ua manaʻo ʻia e piʻi aʻe nā huahana ʻuala mai 0.7 miliona t i ka makahiki 2010 a i 7.3 miliona t i 2050. E hoʻonui ʻia ka makemake o kēlā me kēia poʻe no nā huahana ʻuala mai ka 0.6 a i ka 4.5 kg (6.03% ACGR) i ka manawa o 40 mau makahiki.
Hua ʻuala
3 Pūnaewele Ke koi i nā hua ʻuala (tausani t)
ʻĀpana ʻuala | ʻO nā lau ʻuala/ pauka | ʻO nā lau ʻuala/ pauka | Ka huina | ||
2010 | tausani t | 612 | 52 | 34 | 698 |
Per kapita g | 506 | 43 | 28 | 577 | |
2020 | tausani t | 1398 | 160 | 168 | 1726 |
Per kapita g | 1080 | 124 | 130 | 1334 | |
2030 | tausani t | 2273 | 358 | 556 | 3187 |
Per kapita g | 1630 | 257 | 399 | 2286 | |
2040 | tausani t | 3015 | 644 | 1412 | 5071 |
Per kapita g | 2007 | 429 | 940 | 3376 | |
2050 | tausani t | 3555 | 979 | 2808 | 7342 |
Per kapita g | 2194 | 604 | 1733 | 4532 |
E like me FAOSTAT, ua hoʻohana ʻo India i 2.96 miliona t ʻuala ʻuala (8.5% o ka hana ʻuala aupuni) ma ke ʻano he hua i ka makahiki triennium e pau ana i ka makahiki 2010. ʻO ka nui piha o nā ʻuala i hoʻohana ʻia ma ke ʻano he hua ua manaʻo ʻia e piʻi i 6.1 miliona t i ka makahiki 2050. ʻO nā ʻuala i hoʻohana ʻia ma ke ʻano he hua e hāʻule i ka 5% o ka hana ʻuala aupuni i ka makahiki 2050, ma muli o ka manaʻo o ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻuala.
Pohō ma hope o ka ʻohi ʻana
I kēia manawa, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka ʻuala (16%) i hoʻopau ʻia ma ke ʻano he pohō ma hope o ka hōʻiliʻili ʻana (PHL) ma mua o ka mea i hoʻohana ʻia ma ke ʻano he hua (8.5%) a i ʻole ka hoʻoili ʻana (7.5%). He kūlana pōʻino kēia ma kahi o 1 miliona t i ʻoi aku i ka nui o ka hana ʻuala ma Kanada i ka wā triennium ending 2010 (FAOSTAT) i hoʻopau ʻia ma India. ʻOiai, ma muli o nā wela wela o ke kauwela, ʻaʻole o ke kūlana o nā hale mālama anu a me ka lawe nui ʻana i nā ʻuala mai ke kūkulu ʻākau a hiki i nā mokuʻāina hema ke kumu o ka make nui ʻana o ka ʻuala ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, ʻo ka hapa o nā PHL i ka nui o ka hana ʻuala i loko. ʻo ka ʻāina i manaʻo ʻia e haʻahaʻa. Kuhi ʻia nā PHL i manaʻo ʻia e emi mai ka 15.75 a i ka 10% o kēia manawa i ka makahiki 2050, ʻoiai ʻo ka nui o nā PHL i manaʻo ʻia ma kahi o 5.5 (i kēia manawa), a me 12 miliona t (ma 2050).
mea hoʻolilo
ʻO ka awelika makahiki o ka lawe ʻana i ka ʻuala ʻo India ma mua o nā makahiki he ʻumi i hala, ua ʻoi aʻe a emi mai paha i ka 0.1 miliona t. ʻO ka ʻuala ka semi-perishable a me ka nui o ka ʻoihana mahiai, ʻaʻole alakaʻi ʻia kāna lawe ʻana mai India e ke kākoʻo kulekele lōʻihi. No ka mea he ʻuala koʻikoʻi koʻikoʻi ka ʻuala, ua lawe ʻia nā ʻanuʻu i manaʻo ʻia e mālama i kāna kumukūʻai kūʻai ma ka pae kūpono no ka mea kūʻai maʻamau. ʻO ka hoʻopuka ʻana he mea hana hoʻokele pilikia i nā makahiki o ka hoʻolako ʻana. Eia nō naʻe, ma nā mākeke honua hiki ke hoʻonui wale ʻia ma o ke kūkulu ʻana i ka hilinaʻi a me ka hana ʻana i nā ʻaelike lōʻihi. Manaʻo ʻia ʻo ke kulekele meaʻai i ka wā e hiki mai ana e noʻonoʻo nui aʻe i ka hōʻoia ʻana i ka palekana o ka ʻai ʻāina a me ka haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa o ka lawe ʻana aku i nā meaʻai ʻai. Ma lalo o kēia mau kūlana, ʻaʻole hiki ke piʻi ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻuala hou mai ka ʻāina. ʻO India ka mea hana nui o ka ʻuala, ke manaʻo ʻia nei ka ulu maikaʻi o nā huahana ʻuala. Eia nō naʻe, paʻakikī ka loiloi ʻana i nā hanana e hiki mai ana ma ka pae honua. Eia kekahi, inā ʻaʻole i kākoʻo ʻia ke kākoʻo ʻoki ʻia ma o kahi kulekele hoʻopuka paʻa, ʻaʻole hiki ke koho a hoʻonohonoho i nā pahuhopu e hiki mai ana no ka lawe ʻana aku i nā huahana ʻuala.
Nā hoʻohana ʻē aʻe
I kēia manawa ʻaʻole mākou e hānai i ka ʻuala i nā holoholona no laila ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia i kēia hoʻohana i ka wā e hiki mai ana. Eia nō naʻe, inā hoʻohana ʻia ka nui o ka ʻuala i mea hānai holoholona, a laila ʻoi aku ia ma mua o ka makemake holoʻokoʻa i manaʻo ʻia.
Koi Uala Huina
Ua manaʻo ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻuala ma India i ka 122 miliona t i ka makahiki 2050. E piʻi aʻe ka makemake no ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i ka ʻuala maikaʻi ma ka helu kiʻekiʻe loa a e piʻi aʻe ko lākou māhele i ka ʻupena home mai 7.5% i ka triennium e pau ana i ka makahiki 2010 a hiki i ka awelika. 20.5% i ka makahiki 2050 (Papa 4). E noʻonoʻo ana i ka hāʻawi ʻana i ka home i ka hapa o ka ʻuala
4 Pūnaewele Koi ʻuala maʻamau (miliona t)
Makahiki | Koi $ | Mea hou | aaioee | ʻO ka pua | Paule |
2010 | 35.23 | 23.94 | 2.8 | 2.96 | 5.53 |
(100 | (68.21 | (7.61 | (8.43 | (15.75 | |
2020 | 47.91 | 30.84 | 6.78 | 3.55 | 6.74 |
(100 | (64.37 | (14.15 | (7.41 | (14.07 | |
2030 | 65.39 | 40.82 | 12.11 | 4.25 | 8.21 |
(100 | (62.43 | (18.52 | (6.5 | (12.56 | |
2040 | 89.26 | 55.89 | 18.28 | 5.09 | 10 |
(100 | (62.61 | (20.48 | (5.7 | (11.2 | |
2050 | 121.81 | 78.47 | 25.06 | 6.1 | 12.18 |
(100 | (64.42 | (20.57 | (5.01 | (10 |
'Ōlelo Aʻo: ʻO nā kiʻi ma ka pale he mau pākēneka; $: E emi mālie ke koi ʻana i loko o ka ʻāina i ka hua a me ka ʻai ʻana ma muli o nā poho ma hope o ka hōʻiliʻili ʻana. ʻO ka hoʻonui nui ʻana i ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka ʻuala no ka hana ʻana e hoʻohaʻahaʻa iki i ka nui o ka ʻai ʻana i ka ʻuala hou i meaʻai ma 2050.